2026 World Cup Host Cities Map & Match Distribution｜Probability Analysis
The 2026 World Cup spans 16 host cities across North America. This article provides geographic distribution analysis with probability impact.
I. Host City Distribution
- 🇺🇸 USA: 11 cities (5 west, 6 east)
- 🇨🇦 Canada: 2 cities (Toronto, Vancouver)
- 🇲🇽 Mexico: 3 cities (Mexico City, Guadalajara, Monterrey)
II. Match Distribution by Region
- Eastern USA: ~45 matches (43%)
- Western USA: ~33 matches (32%)
- Mexico: ~13 matches (13%)
- Canada: ~13 matches (13%)
III. Travel Distance Impact
- ✈️ Longest trip: Vancouver → Mexico City (~5,000km)
- 📊 Average travel: ~1,200km per match
- 📉 Win probability loss: -5% to -8% after long-haul travel
IV. Key Venues
- 🏆 Final: New York (MetLife Stadium)
- 🏆 Opening: Mexico City (Azteca Stadium)
- 🏆 Semi-finals: Dallas, Atlanta
V. FAQs
Which city has the biggest probability impact?
Mexico City (2,240m elevation) — reduces visitor win probability by ~8%.🔔 Host city analysis is essential for probability models.